Romania vs Sweden Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2026

Romania vs Sweden Predictions

Romania Look Value for This Clash

There are reasons to back Romania on the Asian Handicap, with the underdogs in receipt of +0.75 at odds of -128 against Sweden. With the stake split between +0.5 and +1.0, we think a return could be on the cards.

Explore our full Romania vs Sweden betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Romania vs Sweden Preview

Romania clash with Sweden at Arena Nationala in Bucharest, with kick-off set for 11:45 on Monday 5 October.

Romania opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-1 defeat away to tonight’s opponent Sweden before suffering a 4-2 home defeat to Bosnia-Herzegovina. In their last outing, the Tricolours were beaten 6-0 by Poland in Warsaw, recording three shots on target and 32% possession after Radu Dragusin was sent off in the 22nd minute.

Sweden followed up with a 3-1 home win against Poland after beating Romania at home in their opener. Last time out, Graham Potter’s side were held to a 1-1 draw away to Bosnia-Herzegovina, registering four shots on target and having 47% possession. Viktor Gyoekeres scored Sweden’s goal, becoming the first player in Nations League history to score in six consecutive matches.

H2H: Sweden Claimed 2-1 Victory Ten Days Ago

Sweden recorded a 2-1 home victory over Romania at Strawberry Arena when the sides met ten days ago. Sweden enjoyed 60% possession and registered four shots on target to Romania’s two, with Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyoekeres finding the net, while Dennis Man scored for Romania.

The Swedes have now won each of the last three meetings between the nations.

Romania – Last 10 Competitive Games

Romania have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Gheorghe Hagi’s side have averaged 46.0% possession and 3.1 corners per match, conceding 2.1 goals and 4.4 corners from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.

Players to Watch

Top goalscorer Dennis Man has found the net 3 times, with Daniel Birligea, Denis Dragus and Florin Tanase scoring 2 each. Andrei Ratiu and Nicusor Bancu are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Ionut Andrei Radu has kept one clean sheet.

Sweden – Last 10 Competitive Games

Sweden have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Blue and Yellow average 46.8% possession, 418.7 passes, 3.6 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 12.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Players to Watch

Viktor Gyoekeres is top of the team’s scoring charts with 8, while Yasin Ayari and Anthony Elanga both have 3. Alexander Isak has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Romania confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Otto Hindrich (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Andrei Coubis, Matei Cristian Ilie, Nicusor Bancu, Razvan Marin, Vlad Dragomir, Nicolae Stanciu, Dennis Man, Darius Olaru, Florin Tanase.

Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Felix Beijmo, Eric Smith, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alexander Bernhardsson, Jesper Karlstroem, Lucas Bergvall, Sebastian Nanasi, Besfort Zeneli, Viktor Gyoekeres.

Main Match Prediction

Romania +0.75 could be a good bet at odds of -128 in this Nations League clash. Our experts are confident that the Tricolours can perform well and we don’t think they’ll be easily beaten.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Romania in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Romania in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sweden in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sweden in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sweden in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.

The latest injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Romania +0.75 Probability

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 56.2% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Romania on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

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Romania Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -128

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 3, 17:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Published 17:58, 03 October 2026

Player Prop Picks

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sweden have had under 4.5 corners in four straight games, with Romania conceding less than 4.5 corners in their past six home games. There’s a chance to go under the Sweden Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -111 on offer.

Competitive Games

Romania

Total

7.50
3.10
4.40

Home

9.50
4.90
4.60

Away

8.00
3.80
4.20

Sweden

Total

8.40
3.60
4.80

Home

10.10
6.60
3.50

Away

8.30
4.40
3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Romania Corners

Sweden Corners

Most Corners

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Romania vs Sweden Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sweden Trading at Shorter Odds Than Romania

Sweden are the shortest price to win this Nations League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 59% probability due to their -143 betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Romania are available at +340.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Romania are +330 here and the draw is +145, with Sweden on offer at +120.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -182.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Nations League games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Viktor Gyökeres Favourite to Score the First Goal

Viktor Gyökeres is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +270. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at -128.

Player Goals

Player Shots On Target

Player Shots

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Romania Stats

Sweden Stats

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

• An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

• An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

• An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

• An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Romania vs Sweden Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Romania vs Sweden, check the team news first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups along with timely injury updates.

Expert Analysis by Daniel Hughes

International Football Analyst

About the Analyst

Our football previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our Football Editorial Betting Panel and Editor-in-Chief.

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Nations League Predictions Methodology

Our football analysis combines team news, injuries and predicted lineups with league and cup form, standings and fixture context. We use metrics such as xG, xGA, xA and PPDA alongside odds movement to assess chance quality, defensive strength and pressing intensity across global leagues.